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Common Poster Subjects => Valuation => Topic started by: mattsw on July 28, 2014, 01:07:31 PM

Title: Pricing Trends?
Post by: mattsw on July 28, 2014, 01:07:31 PM
Hi everyone,

I have been trying to use the databases maintained by Heritage and Emovieposter when gauging the value of a current auction.  Both databases are wonderful resources with pictures, grading, prices and dates.  My question has to do with the overall trend in prices.  There have been several occasions that the lobby card I am looking at does have history, or perhaps a card from that set, and in similar grading, but the record is a few years old.  Has there been any trends on escalation of prices over the past several years?  Has the economy flattened prices at all, or can I assume a certain level of escalation?  I know that rarity, etc., and case-by-case situations will be different, but I am wondering if there is any generalizations on pricing over the past 4 - 5 years.

Thanks,
Matthew
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: CSM on July 28, 2014, 03:14:24 PM
I would say in this particular hobby broad generalizations will prove faulty.  It really is on a case-by-case, rarity vs. condition vs. poster type and poster title/art/depiction.

That said - the best of the best (in terms of condition, rarity, title, artwork) will likely always retain or increase in value.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: wonka on July 28, 2014, 03:37:18 PM
I sum up the trends right now: JAWS JAWS JAWS
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: CSM on July 28, 2014, 03:41:28 PM
The other thing to consider is supply and demand (which is somewhat similar to that word that gets thrown about so often "rarity").

Sometimes finds are made or collections are dispersed which increases the available number of a certain specific poster to the market.  This tends to result in a gradual deescalation of the price results as the supply increases and the demand is met over a period of time.  

Right now it would seem that posters for "classic" movies from the 70s/80s are particularly popular with resultant increases in price results.  While there is great demand, the auction results are tempered by a HUGE supply in the market...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on July 28, 2014, 06:11:35 PM
Agree with Chris. My impression is that some genres such as westerns and musicals are not the trend right now. Which is fine by me.

Long live John Ford  (and John Wayne)

Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: wonka on July 28, 2014, 08:20:06 PM
...and Bogart.  ;)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Crazy Vick on July 28, 2014, 10:53:54 PM
I noticed that the Russian movie posters haven't been doing so well in the last 6 months...  Trend?  Glitch in the matrix?  Giant FU, Putin?
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on July 29, 2014, 05:15:19 AM
...and Bogart.  ;)

You are so right Sir!!
 :)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on July 29, 2014, 09:11:46 AM
Agree with Chris. My impression is that some genres such as westerns and musicals are not the trend right now. Which is fine by me.

Long live John Ford  (and John Wayne)

Works for me.  The top titles will always command top prices, even in those genres, but everything else is a bargain.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: mattsw on July 29, 2014, 12:17:21 PM
Definitely the classics and very fine grades seem to maintain their value.  And not so much classics (I love the Hope/Crosby/Lamour Road Shows  :D and they seem to always command a pretty good price).  But I did find it very interesting the comments above about the 1970's and 1980's becoming very popular, and that certain genres go through phases of popularity, with apparently Westerns and Musicals not being so popular right now. 

Are the 1970's and 1980's seen as "old enough" now so as to be collectible? 

One genre that I have seen over the last several years as being very hot is Sci-fi...particularly 50's Sci-fi.  Is that a trend or has it always been highly sought after?
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Neo on July 29, 2014, 01:07:33 PM
Definitely the classics and very fine grades seem to maintain their value.  And not so much classics (I love the Hope/Crosby/Lamour Road Shows  :D and they seem to always command a pretty good price).  But I did find it very interesting the comments above about the 1970's and 1980's becoming very popular, and that certain genres go through phases of popularity, with apparently Westerns and Musicals not being so popular right now. 

Are the 1970's and 1980's seen as "old enough" now so as to be collectible? 

One genre that I have seen over the last several years as being very hot is Sci-fi...particularly 50's Sci-fi.  Is that a trend or has it always been highly sought after?

There's a trend for several things that are about 30 years old, where those items become highly sought after, often times by the people who grew up around that stuff.  Some good, recent examples are: muscle cars, skateboards, and video games.  The demand tends to be toward things that were not created to be "collectible" and many were discarded or not cared for well, such as original movie posters.  So, yes, in many cases, posters from the 70s and 80s are old enough now to be part of that trend, Jaws is a prime example.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Starling on July 29, 2014, 01:18:21 PM
I mean, call me crazy, but I still don't see how Jaws or Blade Runner or Taxi Driver are going to go through the roof pricewise, because there are tons and tons of them around.  They show up at auction a few times a month and are all over ebay.  But then again, I joined the hobby when they were like 300-400 dollar posters, and I'm sure the old time collectors remember when they were like a dollar each.  I would be shocked if these ever become 2k-3k posters.  But who knows, crazier things have happened.  Not every poster can be a Hannah and her Sisters daybill.  eyeroll
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Crazy Vick on July 29, 2014, 01:42:31 PM
some form or another of price fixing from old school producers and directors buying out their own product.  Next film poster to skyrocket: Conspiracy Theory!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Neo on July 29, 2014, 01:44:49 PM
I mean, call me crazy, but I still don't see how Jaws or Blade Runner or Taxi Driver are going to go through the roof pricewise, because there are tons and tons of them around.  They show up at auction a few times a month and are all over ebay.  But then again, I joined the hobby when they were like 300-400 dollar posters, and I'm sure the old time collectors remember when they were like a dollar each.  I would be shocked if these ever become 2k-3k posters.  But who knows, crazier things have happened.  Not every poster can be a Hannah and her Sisters daybill.  eyeroll

Although many of the items for titles like Jaws and Taxi Driver are fairly common, I think that they're still in high demand because of how iconic the movies and art are, and of course the huge fan base.

However, the whole "market being flooded, thus lowering demand" also rings true on some items, for instance a Jaws soundtrack poster sold for $175 in mid May, and the same guy sold 5 more over the next couple months, and the last one sold for $33.  

http://www.ebay.com/sch/records123/m.html?item=191222096526&pt=LH_DefaultDomain_0&hash=item2c85b9a28e&_from=R40&_sacat=0&_nkw=jaws&LH_Complete=1&rt=nc (http://www.ebay.com/sch/records123/m.html?item=191222096526&pt=LH_DefaultDomain_0&hash=item2c85b9a28e&_from=R40&_sacat=0&_nkw=jaws&LH_Complete=1&rt=nc)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on July 29, 2014, 03:34:51 PM
older material other than very specific classics and/or specific rarities will always be salable, though the prices may not be a good financial investment.

Because collecting is generational, the vast majority of older merchandise will stagnate or drop in price and a poster that sold for $500 10 years ago and $600 today was a very poor investment while a poster that sold for $5 10 years ago and $25 today is a fabulous investment. This presumes that you can achieve full value when you sell and you aren't selling via a second party

Pricing trends in movie poster collecting have never been consistent one way or the other. Even Dracula, a rare and rarified area of collecting, does not sell consistently for increasing amounts.

We're talking about collectibles here and in a limited market. You can't go to a bank and get a loan on your collection and you can't just list your collection and sell it virtually overnight without taking a serious haircut - no matter what you own. Even the best Unihorror collection would sell well below it's "value" if it had to be dispersed, especially in a short period of time.

the pricing trend in posters??
there is no trend << that's the trend
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on July 29, 2014, 05:01:25 PM
I know I'm a minority here, probably even the only one, but I believe that posters are worth nothing.  Don't take me wrong.  I own about 10,000 movie posters and I will say that I have spent a large sum of money acquiring them over the years and still do.  I am a collector, I have never sold a poster and don't intend to ever sell one.  If my heirs can recoup what I have spent on my posters, more power to them, but I seriously doubt it.  To me, my collection is worth about $10,000, because everything has a value and each poster I own is worth at least $1.  Yes, even the Biebers.

What I'm trying to say is that I do not collect for investment.  I collect because I like collecting, I spend some of my discretionary income on posters and it brings me happiness.  I don't know exactly why, but it does.  That's as much as I can ask from the hobby (and from life in general).  Trends change constantly.  What is cool today will be lame tomorrow, and vice-versa.  There is no way to know what something will be worth 10 years from today.  The 80s are hot right now, but a lot of people in their 20s have never seen Back to the Future or Ghostbusters.  Nor do they care to see them.  Old movies, whatever.  So when their generation takes over, those posters will be relics of the past.  Which is why I come from the standpoint that all of this is worth nothing, or close to nothing at $1.  

No expectations.

In short, pricing trends change constantly and are completely unreliable.  If you are collecting for investment, you are in the wrong hobby.  Or you like risk.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on July 29, 2014, 05:20:50 PM
In short, pricing trends change constantly and are completely unreliable.  If you are collecting for investment, you are in the wrong hobby.  Or you like risk.

I pretty much agree with T, especially this last part

collectibles have been touted as investments - wrongly IMO

I sell enjoyment, not investment
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Crazy Vick on July 29, 2014, 06:21:24 PM
I collect because I like collecting, I spend some of my discretionary income on posters and it brings me happiness.  I don't know exactly why, but it does.  That's as much as I can ask from the hobby (and from life in general).  

I have not stopped buying posters as a new collector over the last year...
This quote made me pause for the first time in 12 months.  Thanks T for putting it so well.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: rumble on July 30, 2014, 05:21:05 AM
What I learned from selling a part of my collection (over 200 lots so far on eMovie, and counting) is that it is almost completely random! Some posters that were multi-hundred-dollars some years ago, like the Japanese ERASERHEADs, are only worth a fraction now (good thing I paid almost nothing for them to begin with!). Other material seems to have appreciated somewhat consistently, for instance British quads. The higher end, like linenbacked copies of recognizable titles, seems to hold up well in general. There are a few exceptional cases, like this Mexican drug movie poster that just went for $217, and some obscure stuff even I have no idea what it even is that people pay good money for!

I agree that overall posters are worth (almost) nothing, and you can't expect any return on investment. My philosophy was to consign enough that even with a low median price I would make decent money (I conservatively expect an average selling price of $10 and a comission of 50%). There will be a few that sell for several hundred dollars, and many that I only get pennies for, but the average insures I get a good chunk of cash in the end. I will post separately about my experiences when the first payments have come in.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: 110x75 on July 30, 2014, 08:33:20 AM
There will be a few that sell for several hundred dollars, and many that I only get pennies for, but the average insures I get a good chunk of cash in the end. I will post separately about my experiences when the first payments have come in.

What we want to know is what posters are you going to buy with that good chunk of cash!  ;)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on July 30, 2014, 09:30:25 AM
Just so T feels less alone, I agree completely, and I don't sell either.

I collect for enjoyment entirely.  I try to limit what I spend, and I think we have discussed this before.  How can you determine if a poster has increased in value over time, when it is next to impossible to establish a current value?  Identical items sell for large differences in price on the same week at the major auction sites.  An item that sells for $150 may very well sell for $15 3 weeks later at the same site.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: oldposterho on July 30, 2014, 10:03:25 AM
I agree that the '70s and '80s spike is part of the generational wave, and folks need to be prepared for when they inevitably subside.  Classic films will always do well - and by that I mean hold most of their value - because they are outside of the wave and will always have a "cinema history" value to collectors.  Now whether they'll beat inflation I'll leave to the gods.

Oh, and Lars Erik, I tried, I tried.  Glad I could help out though.  I guess...  :(

--Peter
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: rumble on July 30, 2014, 10:27:38 AM

Oh, and Lars Erik, I tried, I tried.  Glad I could help out though.  I guess...  :(

--Peter

Much appreciated. I am sure the Smoking Mitchum went to a good home!

As for that chunk of cash, it will probably go to shipping everything I own from USA to Japan! No new acquisitions until I have a house to put them in!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: mattsw on July 30, 2014, 12:31:32 PM
I have never sold anything except duplicate lobby cards when I have had a few cards and later acquire a full set, making the first few cards duplicates.  On some I have been pleasantly surprised at what I received.  On others, well, they are still sitting in my closet as no takers on Ebay.  From this thread it sounds like timing is everything, so I will wait a little while and repost them.  What someone was not willing to pay before, maybe another person in two weeks will pay.  Not asking for a lot; just hoping to get some if not all of my money back.

I collect for fun, but also have become somewhat careful that the cards I buy are good enough grade that I hope at least hold value with inflation.  One day the collection will go to my kids.  They are still 9 and 11, and whether either will have any infinity towards movie posters is anyone's guess.  But, if they do not and want to sell them, then I hope they can realize close to what I spent.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: paul waines on July 30, 2014, 01:00:09 PM
T is a man wiser than his years, the perfect attitude to collecting.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: 110x75 on July 30, 2014, 04:27:48 PM

As for that chunk of cash, it will probably go to shipping everything I own from USA to Japan! No new acquisitions until I have a house to put them in!

Moving again? Japan sounds like an excelent destination!!  thumbsup.gif
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: rumble on July 30, 2014, 05:32:21 PM
Moving again? Japan sounds like an excelent destination!!  thumbsup.gif

Arigato! Yes and I'm sure there will be opportunities for poster spending too.  8)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Lost Silents on July 31, 2014, 05:11:29 AM
I pretty much agree with T, especially this last part

collectibles have been touted as investments - wrongly IMO

I sell enjoyment, not investment

Though it's easy to see why people hope that collectibles will produce a massive return - everyone's knows that old chestnut about original Star Wars figurines in mint packaging... Plus, what could be more fun than getting rich by buying stuff that you love?
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on July 31, 2014, 05:33:35 PM
everyone's knows that old chestnut about original Star Wars figurines in mint packaging... Plus, what could be more fun than getting rich by buying stuff that you love?

right, but it was by pure luck and not guarantee
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Ari on July 31, 2014, 09:30:28 PM
The republic with that analogy is, at the time kids bought them and played with them. Like in the past movie posters were printed and cinemas used them.

Now people see old posters worth money or older toys mint in box worth money and try and replicate the "investment"

Same of course with comics or whatever,

Things that are collected from the outset will have a large quantity bought with this in kind and as such kept and looked after.

Collectables that get good returns are things that aren't or weren't collected then later are,miso it's hard to get or hard to get in desired condition.

Or think money.... Lots of nice uncirculated small denomination notes or coins, but larger ones, people couldn't afford to "collect" a brand new £20 note and keep it flat, they needed it to buy food. So they are harder to get.
Or sovereigns, that was a weeks wages,not many people could keep that aside for fun of collecting, it paid the rent.

Now we have ready made collectables, and millions who invest in them, they sit in a room, and don't even gather dust as the owners are so pedantic about them. When time comes to sell, there's only a few less than were made and only those few less as someone had an accident or something.

I had a clouple of clients in the coin shop who came each week with their baby, and spent a couple of hundred dollars on brand new coins from the mint, sold as collectors items.
One day they told me it was investing for their kids future.
I tried my darnkess to talk them out of it, to rather buy old coins or banknotes, that have a track record of good returns.
They wanted pretty boxes and shiny coins. They refused to listen and thought I didn't know what I was talking about. They thought, because there was only 500 of a particular set then it would be better than an old coin where there might be 600 known examples.

I am glad I'm out of the business cos I'd hate to see their faces when they try and cash their investment in and realise dealers have boxes in their storeroom and nobody wants last decades "collector" set.

The trick I think, hold things that are NOT collected and saved, but have strong or rather will have strong nostalgic value in the future. Something that we won't use later, but will remember fondly, that nobody thinks to keep.

In Australia we now have plain packaged ciggarettes, no branding on them, just big ugly pictures of dying people etc.
I have a box full of the last cigarette packets from Australia with the branding intact.
All the time I hear fellow smokers complain they miss the real packets. Sometimes I show people and they ask for one to put their smokes INTO it.
And this is only a year or two old, maybe three, whatever.

Regardless, I can see a time when I can sell an empty packet of winfield blue with the old logo etc. Might happen, and regardless I enjoyed the smokes. Hahaha.


Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: AjTheGreat on August 03, 2014, 04:00:04 PM
Glitch in the matrix?  Giant FU, Putin?

Yup thats pretty it right there haha.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on August 04, 2014, 09:59:54 AM


The trick I think, hold things that are NOT collected and saved, but have strong or rather will have strong nostalgic value in the future. Something that we won't use later, but will remember fondly, that nobody thinks to keep.


I fully agree. But you need a crystal ball ;)

I say collect what you love and try NOT to overpay that is the trick for me. At least it will always hold its value  regardless of trends. And if you are lucky...You might also make some Money. .
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: originalcinemaposters on August 16, 2014, 04:14:49 AM
I see it this way
the stuff from the 70's 80's is making good money because the people that grew up with that stuff are now earning perhaps the most they will will earn or certainly have some disposable income. Certainly in my experience the people i sold and bought from were generally between 30 and 55

Good titles from earlier will surely make good prices but the lesser stuff falls away exponentially.  The reason i think is that the generation of collectors for lets say the fifties is retiring/downsizing and other than a few titles they possibly dont have the money or inclination to continue to buy. If you dont have a great pension then a lot of posters are out of your reach. where as the guy in a good job wants to pay top dollar for jaws star wars goonies etc
give it ten years and the eighties/nineties will be soaring and some of the early seventies stuff will fall away

just my thoughts!
Paul
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on August 18, 2014, 10:25:57 AM
People over 55 do have disposable income, but generally are trying to shed possessions.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: paul waines on August 18, 2014, 12:08:00 PM
To buy more posters...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: originalcinemaposters on August 19, 2014, 07:51:01 AM
People over 55 do have disposable income, but generally are trying to shed possessions.
I dont disagree with that at all. my dad collects more things now than we he did before he retired!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Sunsanvil on September 09, 2014, 03:09:48 PM
Has anyone ever noted a better or worse time of year to sell or buy?
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on September 09, 2014, 03:27:15 PM
Selling must be in January... everyone- or most of us are watching our wallets...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 09, 2014, 03:50:31 PM
Has anyone ever noted a better or worse time of year to sell or buy?

summertime, before kids go back to school, before christmas, January
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on September 09, 2014, 04:02:09 PM
I see it this way
the stuff from the 70's 80's is making good money because the people that grew up with that stuff are now earning perhaps the most they will will earn or certainly have some disposable income. Certainly in my experience the people i sold and bought from were generally between 30 and 55

Good titles from earlier will surely make good prices but the lesser stuff falls away exponentially.  The reason i think is that the generation of collectors for lets say the fifties is retiring/downsizing and other than a few titles they possibly dont have the money or inclination to continue to buy. If you dont have a great pension then a lot of posters are out of your reach. where as the guy in a good job wants to pay top dollar for jaws star wars goonies etc
give it ten years and the eighties/nineties will be soaring and some of the early seventies stuff will fall away

just my thoughts!
Paul

This is right on the money.

 sm1
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Sunsanvil on September 09, 2014, 06:40:52 PM
summertime, before kids go back to school, before christmas, January

Are those times of high or low pricing?
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: stewart boyle on September 10, 2014, 03:15:30 AM
 coffee
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: mattsw on September 21, 2014, 03:46:01 PM
Thanks for all of the replys.  And they have made me somewhat wary.  One of my alltime favorite films is Back to the Future.  This poster makes a regular appearance on the auction sites, and habitually goes for around $150 (excluding one that was autographed by the Director and went for only $88 and that still puzzles me).  I am not looking at this poster for an investment, but I don't want to buy a poster for $150 and have that value drop to around $40 after the 80's craze is over.  So, I will keep watching and maybe snag one when the price begins to drop.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 21, 2014, 04:54:38 PM
Are those times of high or low pricing?

that's when people are watching their money

before thanksgiving & xmas/Hanukkah people watch their wallets as they know they are going to be spending gift money.
before school starts in August, parents watch the $ because they're buying clothes and books
in January they're broke from December
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 21, 2014, 05:26:02 PM
Thanks for all of the replys.  And they have made me somewhat wary.  One of my alltime favorite films is Back to the Future.  This poster makes a regular appearance on the auction sites, and habitually goes for around $150 (excluding one that was autographed by the Director and went for only $88 and that still puzzles me).  I am not looking at this poster for an investment, but I don't want to buy a poster for $150 and have that value drop to around $40 after the 80's craze is over.  So, I will keep watching and maybe snag one when the price begins to drop.

the day any of us can properly judge when an item is going to increase or decrease in value, will be the day I hit the Pick-6 and win $187million dollars
to go further, the investment value of a collectible is not in his sale value - if there is one - it's in the enjoyment you get from owning & appreciating the material

case in point
in 2001 I bought my Murder My Sweet 1sh for $3000. I've had the poster for 13 1/2 years or 4925 days. so for 60 cents a day for the past 13 years I have been able to enjoy this poster on my wall, which makes me smile everytime I look at it. As time passes, my cost goes down. if I'm alive in 2031, I will have paid $100 a year to own the item.
whether it has value at the end of that time is in actuality completely meaningless, because it was never my intention to sell the poster. So if it's worth $1 when I die, I don't care. In the investment was the spiritual investment, not the money.

going further
if a 1931 Dracula poster can sell for $310,000 on day and $160,000 next time - no Rosa, it is not holding it's value and by itself is an indication of the vagaries and travails of the business.

Movie posters is a hobby and unlike other hobbies, has been resistant to those things that make any market investible - there is no price guide. there is no central authority which would require people to adhere to a grading table that everyone agrees with. There isn't an easily accessible wholesale market (if there is one at all anymore). In other words, there is no central core, just many individuals doing their own thing.

This is unlike other hobbies like comic books, coins, stamps, baseball cards etc However those businesses are guided by a central core and all dealers adhere to certain standards in order for it to function in a cohesive fashion. At the same time, those hobbies are completely manipulated. Golden age Captain America comics have sold for double guide for years, why doesn't the guide reflect that? Simply said, the dealers won't allow it. When they submit their pricing each year for the guide, their conflict of interest is too much for most of them to suppress and their feeling is that if they honestly report those prices, it reduces their ability to buy from less knowledgeable people and make the profits.

CGC wasn't created by people just wanting to create a recognized grade scale - it was created due to a need to make grading even across the hobby so that wealthy buyers who were coming into the hobby were not getting shafted by overgraded comics, by comics that had unmentioned restoration etc and wind up leaving the hobby - taking their money with them. But what has happened is that comic books are now treated the same as stocks that you buy on Wall Street. It has been distilled down to it's basic monetary value and once it's slabbed, it's literary value is gone as you can't read the book anymore. It is just a representation of money

and then there is the aspect that - if you are looking for investments - that collectibles are not "liquid"
If I need money today and my ATT stock is at $35.47, I can get on my trading account, put in a sell order at $35.47 (full value) and I now have cash, instantly.
No so with collectibles.

You have a BTTF poster that is worth $150 and you need money today. Not tomorrow. Today.
where is the investment value at that moment? You can sell it and have the money in a few days, but if you need fast money, you have to take what-you-can-get and that's NOT going to be $150

so to boil it down.
if you buy posters, make sure you're buying because you enjoy them, not because you plan on making money because in all likelihood, you won't!
If you want investments.. ATT stock.. It pays a dividend






Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on September 21, 2014, 05:50:49 PM


going further
if a 1931 Dracula poster can sell for $310,000 on day and $160,000 next time - no Rosa it is not holding it's value and by itself is an indication of the vagaries and travails of the business.

Movie posters is a hobby and unlike other hobbies, has been resistant to those things that make any market investible - there is no price guide.



Thanks Rich. Most interesting.  Not sure I asked that question  but appreciate you taking the time to share this.

I think I speak for most when I say that it is not about the money, but it is nevertheless nice to dream that my Twilight poster will be one day sold for $230,000. Hehe

well if an awful film like Casablanca could get that price....suuuurely Twilight can!

 
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 21, 2014, 06:04:21 PM
I say collect what you love and try NOT to overpay that is the trick for me. At least it will always hold its value  regardless of trends.

just that one Rosa..

sadly, your Twilight poster is a very poor investment if current prices & interest are any indicator.
not only that, it's likely to lose value in real dollars as it's only a $3 poster now and 20 years from now will still be just $3 when a simple bank account getting 3% interest would become $10 or so.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on September 21, 2014, 06:14:19 PM
Thanks Rich. Oh...of course...I wrote that.
 hitself

To be honest I don't want to think about how much money I will make if any at all...just how much I have spent..and how much I can keep spending on posters without going insane. Luckily I have got 3 more posters to go and I am done...but can't bloody find them girly2.gif
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 21, 2014, 06:24:30 PM
how much I can keep spending on posters without going insane.

we may be too late already  wynk
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on September 21, 2014, 06:32:33 PM
I love you too Rich :-*

Hehe
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 21, 2014, 06:36:42 PM
I love you too Rich :-*

Hehe

 bed1
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: mattsw on September 21, 2014, 07:40:34 PM
All true about not thinking of the investment.  It seems like every auction has a BTTF poster in fine condition.  Every time I talk myself out of it for the aforementioned reasons.  But I just know that one night I will be overtaken, and press that Bid button.  And probably thrilled when it arrives in the mail.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: erik1925 on September 21, 2014, 07:48:23 PM
All true about not thinking of the investment.  It seems like every auction has a BTTF poster in fine condition.  Every time I talk myself out of it for the aforementioned reasons.  But I just know that one night I will be overtaken, and press that Bid button.  And probably thrilled when it arrives in the mail.

And that's what it's all about, Matt.. The thrill of the hunt and opening that parcel, when it arrives at your front door!  cool1
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: erik1925 on September 21, 2014, 08:15:05 PM
we may be too late already  wynk

Someone is looking mighty fine, after a long, hard, crazy day of researching, bidding and buying posters..... hola.gif

Now its time to hit the town and have a cocktail!

I love the outlined vintage red..  ;D

(http://i1355.photobucket.com/albums/q719/spitfire3992/vintagered_zps98dcc70e.jpg)  (http://i1355.photobucket.com/albums/q719/spitfire3992/kiss_zps2252e326.jpg)

(http://i1356.photobucket.com/albums/q737/Hope_Emerson/kiss-2_zpsnempstew.gif)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on September 22, 2014, 04:35:59 AM
Blimey. ..she just needs to have unibrows to be my spitting image :P
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 22, 2014, 06:00:44 AM
Blimey. ..she just needs to have unibrows to be my spitting image :P

(http://www.comic-art.com/apf/rosa.jpg)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on September 22, 2014, 09:01:00 AM
Rich's insights make me ask a different question.

When is the ideal time to purchase a poster that is going to appreciate in value.

1. Most will say forget value and buy new posters where the film speaks to you.  Unfortunately, that often leads to one saying "What was I thinking?" five years down the road.  The Titanic/Avatar syndrome.  You end up buying 20 turkeys for every gem.

2.  Wait until everyone else is in a buying frenzy and pay market.  This is not the time to buy BTTF, John Hughes or other 80's classics.  But it may never be the time again in your lifetime.  These posters are hot because people who now have money remember the film fondly and want a poster.  Prices are likely to stay stable until these people die off.  Then the prices drop because nobody who remembers the film is still able to remember much of anything.  The remaining strategy here is to spend endless hours searching out a few gems where somebody doesn't know the worth of the poster, and then cheating them.  Not for me.

3. My preferred strategy.  Wait 5-10 years.  If the movie still speaks to you, go ahead and buy it.  The price will still generally be affordable, and may even be depressed due to people who followed #1.  As Rich said, buy for your own pleasure and you won't go wrong.  I won't get rich from this strategy, but I end up with things I like without breaking the bank, and limit the amount of 'back of closet' junk.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: CSM on September 22, 2014, 09:52:33 AM
Rich's insights make me ask a different question.

When is the ideal time to purchase a poster that is going to appreciate in value.

1. Most will say forget value and buy new posters where the film speaks to you.  Unfortunately, that often leads to one saying "What was I thinking?" five years down the road.  The Titanic/Avatar syndrome.  You end up buying 20 turkeys for every gem.

2.  Wait until everyone else is in a buying frenzy and pay market.  This is not the time to buy BTTF, John Hughes or other 80's classics.  But it may never be the time again in your lifetime.  These posters are hot because people who now have money remember the film fondly and want a poster.  Prices are likely to stay stable until these people die off.  Then the prices drop because nobody who remembers the film is still able to remember much of anything.  The remaining strategy here is to spend endless hours searching out a few gems where somebody doesn't know the worth of the poster, and then cheating them.  Not for me.

3. My preferred strategy.  Wait 5-10 years.  If the movie still speaks to you, go ahead and buy it.  The price will still generally be affordable, and may even be depressed due to people who followed #1.  As Rich said, buy for your own pleasure and you won't go wrong.  I won't get rich from this strategy, but I end up with things I like without breaking the bank, and limit the amount of 'back of closet' junk.

What about posters that are already 50+ years old?
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on September 22, 2014, 10:48:41 AM
What about posters that are already 50+ years old?

My belief is that all but the most iconic of these are depreciating in value for reasons I stated above.

Look at values of old westerns, classic musicals, screwball comedies and much noir.

Yes, the very best like Wizard of Oz, Singin in the Rain, Stagecoach and Casablanca will hold value and continue to climb, but much of the second tier stuff is becoming very affordable. 

As I have previously mentioned, my kids have no interest in black and white movies.  They think plots of the 50s are boring when compared to action flix popular today.  The people who love these movies are now dying off and with them, so goes tha value of the poster.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Starling on September 22, 2014, 01:39:12 PM
Thanks Rich. Oh...of course...I wrote that.
 hitself

To be honest I don't want to think about how much money I will make if any at all...just how much I have spent..and how much I can keep spending on posters without going insane. Luckily I have got 3 more posters to go and I am done...but can't bloody find them girly2.gif

I love this statement...3 more posters and I am done!  Lucky girl, I wish I had that much restraint/end game.   :)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on September 22, 2014, 03:07:31 PM
I love this statement...3 more posters and I am done!  Lucky girl, I wish I had that much restraint/end game.   :)


Only 3 left because YOU HAVE ALL my goodies.. Golden Arrow, It happened One Night and Desire and... :P

Hands off MY Bogie >:D

 :D
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: crowzilla on September 23, 2014, 12:13:33 AM
3. My preferred strategy.  Wait 5-10 years.  If the movie still speaks to you, go ahead and buy it.  The price will still generally be affordable, and may even be depressed due to people who followed #1.  As Rich said, buy for your own pleasure and you won't go wrong.  I won't get rich from this strategy, but I end up with things I like without breaking the bank, and limit the amount of 'back of closet' junk.

While you can probably find a Back to the Future 1-sheet for sale every week for the next 10 years, that is just not always the case with what the heart wants (right Rosa and her 3 posters?).
So if it finally shows up for sale and you can purchase it without breaking the bank, do it and enjoy it now.
I want a Jungle Woman insert, the last time I saw one for sale it sold for about $25 more than I was willing to pay. That was 10 years ago.
I may very well find it for less money whenever it turns up, but not only have I wasted a few minutes each week searching for it, I have missed out on 10 years of enjoying that poster. I was a blockhead to let it get away when I could have easily afforded it.

I would even apply this to Back to the Future. Let's say that for some reason in 10 years no one wants that title (doubtful, but let's say...) and you can buy it for $50 instead of $150.  Is it really worth $100 to delay enjoyment for 10 years?
You wouldn't get $10 a year worth of enjoyment from owning that poster?
If not, this probably isn't the hobby for you.


Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on September 23, 2014, 01:24:42 AM
While you can probably find a Back to the Future 1-sheet for sale every week for the next 10 years, that is just not always the case with what the heart wants (right Rosa and her 3 posters?).
So if it finally shows up for sale and you can purchase it without breaking the bank, do it and enjoy it now.
I want a Jungle Woman insert, the last time I saw one for sale it sold for about $25 more than I was willing to pay. That was 10 years ago.
I may very well find it for less money whenever it turns up, but not only have I wasted a few minutes each week searching for it, I have missed out on 10 years of enjoying that poster. I was a blockhead to let it get away when I could have easily afforded it.

I would even apply this to Back to the Future. Let's say that for some reason in 10 years no one wants that title (doubtful, but let's say...) and you can buy it for $50 instead of $150.  Is it really worth $100 to delay enjoyment for 10 years?
You wouldn't get $10 a year worth of enjoyment from owning that poster?
If not, this probably isn't the hobby for you.

so well said buddy
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on September 23, 2014, 08:57:19 AM
While you can probably find a Back to the Future 1-sheet for sale every week for the next 10 years, that is just not always the case with what the heart wants (right Rosa and her 3 posters?).
So if it finally shows up for sale and you can purchase it without breaking the bank, do it and enjoy it now.
I want a Jungle Woman insert, the last time I saw one for sale it sold for about $25 more than I was willing to pay. That was 10 years ago.
I may very well find it for less money whenever it turns up, but not only have I wasted a few minutes each week searching for it, I have missed out on 10 years of enjoying that poster. I was a blockhead to let it get away when I could have easily afforded it.

I would even apply this to Back to the Future. Let's say that for some reason in 10 years no one wants that title (doubtful, but let's say...) and you can buy it for $50 instead of $150.  Is it really worth $100 to delay enjoyment for 10 years?
You wouldn't get $10 a year worth of enjoyment from owning that poster?
If not, this probably isn't the hobby for you.

But that wasn't the point I was trying to make.  I paid $100 for my BTTF because I didn't buy it until 2 years ago.  But I also have a fair amount of 80s fare that was bought cheap in the 90s.  Breakfast Club, Nightmare on Elm St, Animal House, etc.

The point I was trying to make was that I personally do not have a good handle on what will still appeal to me in 5 years when it is first released, and if you wait 20 years, you are mostly relying on others' opinions of what is classic.  At 5-10 years, posters seem to be at their low value point, and you have had a chance to determine what still speaks to you.

I ended up with several tubes of junk learning that lesson about buying new release stuff.

But if there is a 20-30 year old poster you like and it is higher priced, you should go ahead and get it.  It probably won't get cheaper for another 20 years (subject to week to week variances already discussed) and you get to enjoy it.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on September 23, 2014, 10:17:39 AM
That's a good point Jayn J. There are posters that it might be worth just to set aside and wait till the right one pops (price or condition or both).

I think most of us know,  like Sean and Jayn J said we know that with some posters you just have to buy them as in "it is now or never" as  that might be the only one shot to get it. And that if you are lucky enough to find them. And yes lucky enough to have some spare cash.

Pricing trends to me are purely emotional (thats what i meant earlier Rich about holding their value). I paid a price but they really make me happy, and I suspect will continue to do so. Hence they are priceless (whoever said that money doesn't buy you happiness doesn't know where to shop ...posters..!!).

 Can't care less if the Searchers will go for peanuts in 5 -10 years time. I paid not peanuts for my pocket but got it when  it was right for me so to me it feels like "peanut butter". Pure Joy and Happiness minus the calories :) sorry bad joke I know. . :P

And I need just 3 more*......and I will live happily ever after  girly.gif

*terms and conditions apply.
*** I reserve my right to change my mind




Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 12, 2015, 04:56:21 AM
Rich's insights make me ask a different question.

When is the ideal time to purchase a poster that is going to appreciate in value.

1. Most will say forget value and buy new posters where the film speaks to you.  Unfortunately, that often leads to one saying "What was I thinking?" five years down the road.  The Titanic/Avatar syndrome.  You end up buying 20 turkeys for every gem.


3. My preferred strategy.  Wait 5-10 years.  If the movie still speaks to you, go ahead and buy it. 


This is a great post.  And wise. 20 turkeys... ;D

Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: wonka on March 12, 2015, 10:51:44 AM
Wait, poster dealers advising to buy NOW NOW NOW...? Crazy!

(I actually agree tho...)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 12, 2015, 11:20:26 AM
Wait, poster dealers advising to buy NOW NOW NOW...? Crazy!

(I actually agree tho...)

You talking about Jayn_j? Didnt realise he was a dealer. Not that matters tho
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on March 12, 2015, 11:26:45 AM
You talking about Jayn_j? Didnt realise he was a dealer. Not that matters tho

I've never sold a poster.  Given a few away.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 12, 2015, 11:57:45 AM
I've never sold a poster.  Given a few away.


I am waiting for mine!!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: wonka on March 12, 2015, 12:31:21 PM
You talking about Jayn_j? Didnt realise he was a dealer. Not that matters tho

Referring to Schan and Rich's comments about not holding out...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jayn_j on March 12, 2015, 02:41:15 PM

I am waiting for mine!!

Need your address, then Ishtar is on its way.  >:D
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: erik1925 on March 12, 2015, 02:46:31 PM
Careful Jay..

Remember it is the poster matriarch that has made this request.  ;D

(https://mnprairieroots.files.wordpress.com/2009/08/copy-of-woman-1.jpg)
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on March 12, 2015, 04:19:57 PM
Referring to Schan and Rich's comments about not holding out...

Sean said it best when he asked if it's worth $100 to wait 10 years for gratification
I've never held out if a piece of art or a poster was available and I really wanted to add it to my collection, but I've gotten very lucky on material I may have missed out on and later gotten same for much less.

Heritage has a poster this month that I have lost out on twice at over $2000 in the past, but now I may be able to get a copy for half that. Do I care that the item may be headed in the wrong direction.. maybe some.. but I need the poster..... I  N-E-E-D the poster
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 12, 2015, 05:14:33 PM
.. but I need the poster..... I  N-E-E-D the poster

Hope you get it Rich.

And yes. I think the idea is to wait if it is a relatively common poster and if you don't mind it that much.  But with some other posters i will just grab them when you can...If you can. ..
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 12, 2015, 05:15:44 PM
Need your address, then Ishtar is on its way.  >:D

Sent you a PM.

Can't wait!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on March 12, 2015, 05:29:22 PM
Hope you get it Rich.

 bed1
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Gingerman on March 12, 2015, 11:51:25 PM
Interesting topic here, I buy what I like. If I really liked the movie, and likewise the poster then when I find it I buy/bid it.
I have been focusing on my Resident Evil collection. Ironically as new as the movies are, they are proving to be difficult to find in a desirable condition. I will never sell them, so the value or future value in my case does not influence my decision to buy.

Now a question for you folks. Have you noticed a trend in value increasing when studios release new movies/sequels of films. For example, do you think the value will go up on Star Wars stuff when the new movie is released later this year? OR the demand for the original Avengers stuff when the sequel releases?
Or when they remake an old movie like Robocop, or Dread, or Total Recall?

Ah well goodnight
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on March 13, 2015, 12:31:03 AM
Interesting topic here, I buy what I like. If I really liked the movie, and likewise the poster then when I find it I buy/bid it.
I have been focusing on my Resident Evil collection. Ironically as new as the movies are, they are proving to be difficult to find in a desirable condition. I will never sell them, so the value or future value in my case does not influence my decision to buy.

Did you get all the Japanese B1s?  They're the ones to collect, imo.  I only got 5 for Apocalypse and Extinction, never got the rest because if I remember correctly, they look liked US OS.  These 5 are different, though.  The two character B1s for Apocalypse are textured.  Quite cool in person.  The undisputed king of B1s himself, Holiday, tried to get them from me on multiple occasions, but I resisted.

(https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7647/16177330894_3d800a726e.jpg)(https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8668/16773802716_647f8b49dc.jpg)(https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7605/16179745013_3283cd04c1.jpg)(https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8566/16798552471_8774ba3ff3.jpg)(https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8730/16612289880_e83eb6df78.jpg)

T

Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on March 13, 2015, 02:05:26 AM
Now a question for you folks. Have you noticed a trend in value increasing when studios release new movies/sequels of films. For example, do you think the value will go up on Star Wars stuff when the new movie is released later this year? OR the demand for the original Avengers stuff when the sequel releases?
Or when they remake an old movie like Robocop, or Dread, or Total Recall?

no.. such movement is 99% of the time a fallacy
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Ari on March 13, 2015, 09:14:58 AM
possibly the opposite as shitty sellers all list their stuff and its flooded (I don't know - just thinking out loud).
Like the dead people dealers (listing just after someones death).
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: CSM on March 13, 2015, 10:10:08 AM
possibly the opposite as shitty sellers all list their stuff and its flooded (I don't know - just thinking out loud).
Like the dead people dealers (listing just after someones death).


These are truths
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: wonka on March 13, 2015, 10:51:06 AM
Now a question for you folks. Have you noticed a trend in value increasing when studios release new movies/sequels of films. For example, do you think the value will go up on Star Wars stuff when the new movie is released later this year? OR the demand for the original Avengers stuff when the sequel releases?
Or when they remake an old movie like Robocop, or Dread, or Total Recall?

It depends, if there is a spike in something, it usually is temporary based on current hype and such.

There are cases where there is no upwards trend at all, of course, and there can be a new price floor/ceiling that can stay for several years but this occurrence is very rare.

My money on a higher going rate is on SW when the new film comes out as you mentioned, especially if the film is actually good.
SW stuff (a good portion) is slowly creeping up in general anyway.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 13, 2015, 11:10:08 AM
possibly the opposite as shitty sellers all list their stuff and its flooded (I don't know - just thinking out loud).
Like the dead people dealers (listing just after someones death).


 :-\ :-X >:(
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Gingerman on March 14, 2015, 11:04:31 PM
Did you get all the Japanese B1s?  They're the ones to collect, imo.  I only got 5 for Apocalypse and Extinction, never got the rest because if I remember correctly, they look liked US OS.  These 5 are different, though.  The two character B1s for Apocalypse are textured.  Quite cool in person.  The undisputed king of B1s himself, Holiday, tried to get them from me on multiple occasions, but I resisted.

(https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8668/16773802716_647f8b49dc.jpg)(https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7605/16179745013_3283cd04c1.jpg)
T



I really like these 2. You showed me those once before, and I was jealous then too! I actually favor Apocalypse over the rest of the RE movies. I haven't found the B1s anywhere for sale. We'll I found one, the condition was poor and he wanted more to ship it than the poster was worth IMHO. For that matter I only have US One Sheets, with the exception of 2 bus shelters. One from Apocalypse and one from Extinction. The dealer claimed to have sold the original RE shelter poster about 6 months before I found him. He said it was the Jovovich/Rodriguez. So if you stumble upon these B1s, or wanna point me in the right direction I would appreciate it!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on March 15, 2015, 12:10:12 AM
Apocalypse is BY FAR the best of the 5, if only for that cute brunette from the poster ;)  The fighting sequences are great.

As far as finding these posters, I'm afraid I can't help you.  Bruce sold 2 B2s of Jovovich in 2012, and that's the only time I've seen them.  The two above are amongst my favorite B1s, if only for the texture of the posters.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: rumble on March 15, 2015, 03:54:02 AM
Apocalypse is BY FAR the best of the 5

There are five of them now? I have clearly lost touch...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: archie leach on March 15, 2015, 05:09:41 AM
There are five of them now? I have clearly lost touch...

Same script, filmed five ways.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: paul waines on March 15, 2015, 08:55:13 AM
Paying top Dollar is fine if you have deep pockets like Rich and Sean, but us poor collectors, do have to watch the Pennies...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: iojabba on March 15, 2015, 12:14:19 PM
I have never sold a poster either, but I recently purchased a large box of about 200 folded 80's and 90's OS with a lot of duplicates. So, we will see. I would rather use the extras for trades.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on March 15, 2015, 01:51:31 PM
Where is that picture of my office throwing up posters when you need it.  I don't remember which thread it was in.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: jedgerley on March 15, 2015, 02:11:05 PM
Where is that picture of my office throwing up posters when you need it.  I don't remember which thread it was in.

T

Here ya go

Alright, well, what I had first envisioned to be a fun experience really turned out to be a nightmare.  Mainly because trashing posters is not fun to any collector.  I will not recoup my $200, and in retrospect, I should have sent it to the Red Cross.  Another problem is that I am extremely anal and expect modern posters (post 1990) to be in extra mint condition.  I mean, not a flaw.  Well, 99% of these posters did not pass the test.  Plus, I already owned a lot of these titles, and the rest of them were lame, lame movies (Ice Cube, anyone?)  So out the door they go.

This is the outside of my garage, an hour ago.  Did I mention it's about to rain?

Oh well, live and learn, right?  Someone, somewhere, is laughing at me...

(http://www.eatbrie.com/large_posters_files/Photos/Trashposters1.jpg)(http://www.eatbrie.com/large_posters_files/Photos/Trashposters2.jpg)(http://www.eatbrie.com/large_posters_files/Photos/Trashposters3.jpg)

T


Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 15, 2015, 02:35:35 PM
That is hard to look at...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: erik1925 on March 15, 2015, 02:40:03 PM
What a shot, there, T.

Looks like some nice kindling or wrapping paper was there...  ;D

Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Mirosae on March 15, 2015, 02:43:23 PM
Uhm... it sort of looks more like  T ...paper...and by T I don't mean Thierry!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on March 15, 2015, 02:53:57 PM
I knew someone who find them :)  Memories!!!

I love those pictures.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: CSM on March 15, 2015, 02:56:21 PM
Notice how ALL the Bieber posters were saved from this fate?

What does it all mean?!
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on March 15, 2015, 05:37:30 PM
Paying top Dollar is fine if you have deep pockets like Rich and Sean, but us poor collectors, do have to watch the Pennies...

there is nothing wrong with collecting high or low..
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on March 15, 2015, 05:38:42 PM
who can sight the $500 poster in T's trash pile....
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on March 15, 2015, 05:40:23 PM
I should have taken a picture of me longing on top of the pile smoking a cigar.  That would have been a good one.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: erik1925 on March 15, 2015, 07:38:49 PM
who can sight the $500 poster in T's trash pile....

I didnt know Dakota Fanning's posters were going for that much now, Rich.  ;D
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on March 16, 2015, 01:11:36 AM
I didnt know Dakota Fanning's posters were going for that much now, Rich.  ;D

I'm surprised you can't see it.. look again
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: erik1925 on June 14, 2015, 08:18:03 PM
I'm surprised you can't see it.. look again

Still haven't seen it, Rich.

Can you give a clue?  prayer.gif
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: MoviePosterBid.com on June 14, 2015, 08:23:59 PM
Still haven't seen it, Rich.

Can you give a clue?  prayer.gif

it's one of the posters shown in the pile.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: erik1925 on June 14, 2015, 08:31:19 PM
it's one of the posters shown in the pile.


NO... really?

 binoc.gif

Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Stefano on December 20, 2020, 10:47:20 PM
Five years later, and I'd love to revisit the question of price trends, but not in an "investment" context... merely as a point of interest.  I was looking at the sales (or lack thereof) from horror auctions since Halloween, and was surprised with some of the results in categories like 1960s horror.  It has had me thinking about this question of pricing trends.  And I've had a hard time finding resources on broad, generalized pricing trends by genre. 

What have people noticed over the years in their favorite poster genres?  It Universal Horror more affordable today?  Do you think covid affecting the poster market?  I know it's hard to make broad statements about genres, because some iconic titles will always fetch great sums.  But years ago, many people noticed that posters for '50s musicals and westerns had become much less sought after.  I just wondered if there are any other obvious trends or changes that collectors noticed in any of their areas of interest.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: DinDinTahm on December 20, 2020, 11:20:14 PM
https://youtu.be/yCZ8Ki2Sd90


I know Jeff's value has plummeted.  ;D
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: okiehawker on December 21, 2020, 08:22:16 PM
Hi Stefano,

I haven't run the numbers, though it seems like there has been some recent renewed buying interest in nice 1930s stone litho Western posters. Also, on the 1930s classic Universal Horror posters, I could work in the summer cutting and selling firewood in the 1970/80s and may have been able to stretch and perhaps buy one of the known posters from Dracula, Frankenstein etc.  Today, I can work all year in my profession, pay the bills, and not come even close on most of them. Okie
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Antoine1973 on December 22, 2020, 10:20:18 AM
1930s and 1940s Universal Horror seems popular as ever, as the continued high prices for those titles indicate.  Paper for early Hammer movies seems to be on a bit of an upswing lately, particularly Italian first release for Horror of Dracula, some of which have achieved stratospheric prices (66K for 2Fogli style A and 84K for style B, a rather unattractive composition IMHO) at Heritage this past year.  As usual, rarity appears to be key here. 

Overall, I haven't noticed any Covid-related dip in auction prices (both for movie poster sales as well as in the fine art sector) over the past several months.  If anything, the market seems to have been somewhat strengthened by people looking for a safe investment during these turbulent times.  Curious to see if that trend will continue next year. 
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: Tob on December 24, 2020, 05:09:04 AM
I think in the 5 years since this thread, Star Wars has gone up. Japanese posters seem to have more collectors too.

I like to buy cheap, modern quads - they seem to have a bump recently. My speculation on this perception is:

- Cinemas being closed, so lack of supply - less new releases, less supply of those new releases
- More collectors - there seem to be more active quad collectors recently in Facebook groups and other social media
- I'm getting tight/cheap
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: ChromaticAberration on February 05, 2021, 10:08:01 AM
Not being an expert at all and not living in a county like the USA or even Japan where everything seems to be collectable at some point in time, I gotta say that the prices of modern posters, even if in near mint condition, seem to reveal that there is not much interest to be honest. In my experience, paying more than, let's say, €5, for most modern posters, let's say, from the last 5 to 10 years, it's usually a bad deal.

This may change radically as we move back in time, especially if we are only considering original editions used in cinemas. Stuff from the 90's or even from the beginning of the year 2000 is super rare in any condition, I can only imagine how many of those just went to the trash!

The matter of the short supply will only get worse since many, many movie theatres are already digital or going that route, it is much smarter to have a couple o digital frames (basically LED TV screens?) where you just load the posters you want to scroll every minutes and be done with it...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: ChromaticAberration on February 12, 2021, 03:34:51 PM
Having started in this hobbies only very recently I have to say now that it is very hard to know what to pay for any kind of modern poster.

Being a millennial I have not emotional attachment to 90% of the movies released before 1995, back then I was 10 years old and all I watched was Star Wars because my father was a great fan, only later did I started getting interested in movies in general, stuff like Jurassic Park, Matrix, Back to the Future and E.T. were my stronger references.

My collection is not built in top of A grade posters but 90% of them cost me less than €5 which seems ridiculous when I look at eBay auctions for example.

What is the fair price for a mint, 90's, run of the mill, movie poster?! I have no idea whatsoever...
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: okiehawker on February 14, 2021, 01:04:54 AM
Buy what you like for what you feel is a good price, Chromatic.  You'll be happy with your collection that way.  Price most always depends on condition, supply, and demand as you probably know. Watch eBay, emovieposter, Movieposterbid, Heritage, and others and you'll see the range of prices and perhaps some trends.  Then, jump in buying what you like.  That's my advice.  Okie
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on February 14, 2021, 10:29:12 AM
Okie is right, buy what you like, that's what matters most. 

It is extremely difficult to figure out which title will increase in value over time.  So many 80s posters for movies that didn't even do well when they came out (Goonies, anyone?) have increased in value.  Others, like gigantic hits like Beverly Hills Cop, are worth nothing.  In recent years, I could have told you that La La Land was going to gain traction.  Same with the Marvels and some horror flicks.  But the rest, I have no idea.  Only time will tell but I guarantee you a lot of those €5 ones will.  They always do.  People change their views on movies, tastes evolve, a flop becomes a hit... who knows.  So buy what you like. 

And yes, the Emovieposter.com database is a very good tool.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: ChromaticAberration on February 14, 2021, 10:44:51 AM
I am not so much as worried with the posters I own raising in value but more afraid of overpaying because sometimes there are quite different prices for the same posters and it gets real hard to tell what is fair and what is pure speculation or even plain and simple robbery from someone who got the stuff for free and now wants to make an easy buck.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: marklawd on February 14, 2021, 12:57:32 PM
.......plain and simple robbery from someone who got the stuff for free and now wants to make an easy buck.

The fact that someone got something for free or cheap and is able to make an "easy buck" shouldn't concern you. I recently paid someone x10 what they had paid for a true unicorn poster only 3 weeks earlier (I didn't have this price information at the time) but it would sell for x 5 what I paid....and I managed to get another one from the original seller for the price my seller had paid. I didn't consider my seller was ripping me off. On the contrary I am grateful to him for giving me the first opportunity to purchase an incredibly rare poster off the market.

One tip I would give you when buying modern posters on ebay is to check actual completed sales after viewing listed asking prices. There are an awful lot of delusional sellers who will never find a buyer for their posters at the inflated prices they are seeking.

Mark
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: ChromaticAberration on February 14, 2021, 02:01:17 PM
Of course, I have no problem with people selling for profit but many are not even someone who enjoys posters they just happened to have come across them for example due to professional reasons.

But yeah, in the end I just want prices to be fair for both parties, the tis the most important no doubt.

I already use that "sold items" technique on eBay, it is one of the only way to get s glimpse at market trends.
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on February 14, 2021, 03:59:52 PM
I am not so much as worried with the posters I own raising in value but more afraid of overpaying because sometimes there are quite different prices for the same posters and it gets real hard to tell what is fair and what is pure speculation or even plain and simple robbery from someone who got the stuff for free and now wants to make an easy buck.

My 3 requisites when buying a modern poster (post 1980).

#1 Condition.  Poster must be mint, mint, mint.  After 1984, poster must be rolled.  After 1988, poster must be double sided (or single sided small indie release).  And mint.  Did I say mint?
#2 Seller.  Is the seller lying about condition (most sellers are) and does he know how to ship (most sellers don't)?
#3 Price.  I will pay if the first 2 requisites are met, even if I must overpay.  Better overpay than having to ship the poster back because the seller lied on condition and did not know how to ship.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: ChromaticAberration on February 14, 2021, 04:51:56 PM
I totally get the condition criteria, it's very hard not to cause damage just by simply handling them...

Guess I will have to be on the lookout price-wise regarding the ones I am looking for.






Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: redman on February 14, 2021, 06:35:13 PM
I recently paid someone x10 what they had paid for a true unicorn poster only 3 weeks earlier

I managed to get another one from the original seller for the price my seller had paid

so not a true unicorn ???
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: marklawd on February 15, 2021, 09:49:38 AM
so not a true unicorn ???

My definition of a unicorn is a poster that is believed to exist but hasn't surfaced before. The fact that the original seller had another one doesn't really diminish the meaning.

Mark
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: redman on February 15, 2021, 10:13:16 AM
^what's the poster?
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: eatbrie on February 15, 2021, 10:54:45 AM
it's very hard not to cause damage just by simply handling them...

It really is not.  There are a few sellers out there who know exactly how to handle paper and whose stuff is always pristine.

T
Title: Re: Pricing Trends?
Post by: ChromaticAberration on February 15, 2021, 04:18:34 PM
It really is not.  There are a few sellers out there who know exactly how to handle paper and whose stuff is always pristine.

T
In my very short experience I have been able to slightly deteriorate the condition of one or two pieces just because I rushed and mishandled them thinking it would be ok... silly me.

In the meanwhile things just gotten worse! Since the UK has now left the European Union, one if not the best source for US one sheets is now out of the equation. I really don't want to pay extra import fees and have to deal with the Portuguese customs which are utterly inefficient. What a bummer!