At this point in time (which is pretty much final), it should go to either Avatar or Hurt Locker. Cameron helped on Locker, Bigelow helped on Avatar, so it's a family thing. Voters might be a little sick of Cameron's successes and might vote for Bigelow, who has a strong body of work and made the first good Irak movie. I still go for a repeat of Titanic, though.
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